Why do orbits slowly turn?

Earth bulges at the equator, and that uneven pull slowly swings a satellite's orbit plane around and rotates its ellipse — a drift called precession.

A satellite circling a perfect, uniform ball would trace the same path in space forever. Earth is not perfect. It is wider at the equator than pole to pole, and the Sun and Moon pull on satellites too.

These extra tugs make orbits slowly change. NASA calls the result a walking, or precessing, orbit. For satellites at geostationary height and below, Earth's equatorial bulge is the strongest cause. Above that, the Sun and Moon dominate.

Seen from above the North Pole Earth earlier planes drifts west equator crossing ISS, tilt 51.6° about 5° a day west full circle in about 72 days
From above, a tilted orbit looks like an oval whose long axis joins its two equator crossings. Earth's equatorial bulge swings the ISS's orbit plane westward by about 5° a day, so the crossings go all the way round in about 72 days.

Two kinds of turning

The bulge does two things.

It swings the orbit plane around Earth's axis, like a tilted spinning top wobbling. The point where the satellite crosses the equator going north drifts around the globe.

It also turns the ellipse within its own plane, so the perigee slowly moves around the orbit. At two special tilts, 63.4° and 116.6°, this second turning stops. Molniya orbits use 63.4° so their high, slow apogee stays over high northern latitudes.

Turning a nuisance into a tool

Sun-synchronous orbits use the first effect on purpose. Cartosat-3's height (509 km) and tilt (97.5°) are chosen so its orbit plane swings round once a year, keeping pace with the Sun. Its equator crossings then always happen at about the same local time. Even this needs care: NASA notes that the Sun's and Moon's pull slowly shifts the inclination of sun-synchronous orbits, so it has to be trimmed every year or two.

For geostationary satellites the drift is a nuisance. The Sun's and Moon's pull slowly tilts their orbits, so operators must fire thrusters to keep them over the equator.

What you notice on the tracker

The ISS orbits at 51.6°, about 414 to 424 km up. At that height and tilt, Earth's bulge swings its orbit plane westward by about 5° a day, a full circle in about 72 days. This drift is one reason the times of visible ISS passes over an Indian city change from week to week.

See it live

Note the local time when Cartosat-3 crosses India; precession keeps that time nearly the same from week to week. Track Cartosat-3

Key facts

  • J2, Earth's main bulge term: 0.00108263.
  • At GEO and below, the bulge dominates; above GEO, the Sun and Moon do.
  • Perigee stops turning at inclinations of 63.4° and 116.6°.
  • Sun-synchronous orbits need a plane swing of about 0.9856° a day.

Go deeper

To first order the bulge (J2) produces two secular drifts:

Node: dΩ/dt = −1.5 · n · J2 · (R/a)² · cos i / (1 − e²)² Perigee: dω/dt = 0.75 · n · J2 · (R/a)² · (4 − 5 sin² i) / (1 − e²)²

with n the mean motion, R = 6,378 km and J2 = 1.08263 × 10⁻³.

Worked numbers.

Cartosat-3 (a = 6,887 km, n = 5,468°/day, i = 97.5°): 1.5 × 5,468 × 0.00108263 × 0.8577 = 7.616°/day, times −cos 97.5° = 0.1305, gives dΩ/dt ≈ +0.99°/day. That is the sun-synchronous rate of 360° / 365.256 days = 0.9856°/day.

The ISS (51.6°, about 414 × 424 km, so a ≈ 6,797 km): the same formula gives about −5.0°/day. The node runs westward and laps Earth about every 72 days. That is why the times of ISS passes over your city shift from week to week.

The perigee term vanishes when 4 − 5 sin² i = 0, so sin² i = 0.8 and i = 63.43° or 116.57°. This is the critical inclination used by Molniya orbits.

At i = 90° the node term is zero too: a truly polar orbit's plane does not swing at all under J2. And because both rates scale as (R/a)², the bulge matters far less for high orbits — which is why the Sun and Moon take over above GEO.

Check yourself

What feature of Earth causes the plane of a low orbit to precess?

Its equatorial bulge (oblateness). The extra mass at the equator pulls unevenly on the orbit and slowly swings its plane.

Why are Molniya orbits inclined at 63.4°?

At that inclination the bulge does not rotate the perigee, so the high apogee stays over the same northern latitudes.

Does the plane of an exactly polar (90°) orbit precess because of J2?

No. The node drift is proportional to cos i, which is zero at 90°.

Sources

  1. Basics of Space Flight, Chapter 5: Planetary Orbits — NASA Science
  2. Catalog of Earth Satellite Orbits — NASA Earth Observatory
  3. Orbital Mechanics (Rocket and Space Technology) — Robert A. Braeunig
  4. Earth Fact Sheet — NASA NSSDCA
  5. Cartosat-3 — ISRO
  6. Cartosat-3 — eoPortal (ESA)
  7. SATCAT record: ISS (ZARYA) — CelesTrak