Why do rocket launches fail?

Launches fail when one of thousands of parts or decisions goes wrong at high speed — a motor losing pressure, a leaking valve, a misread sensor or a shield that stays shut.

A rocket is a long chain of events that must all work, in order, within minutes. Thousands of parts are pushed close to their limits. One weak link is enough to lose the mission. India's record shows the main ways it happens. In each case below, a single part or signal — a separation mechanism, a valve, a sensor reading, a motor — was enough to end the mission.

Five Indian failures

  • PSLV-C39, 31 August 2017. The heat shield did not separate. The satellite IRNSS-1H was released inside it.
  • GSLV-F10, 12 August 2021. Pressure in the cryogenic stage's hydrogen tank did not build up. The engine got too little fuel and the onboard computer aborted the flight; EOS-03 was lost.
  • SSLV-D1, 7 August 2022. Vibration at stage separation made the navigation sensors read wrong. The software marked them as failed and the satellites went into an unstable orbit.
  • PSLV-C61, 18 May 2025. Performance was normal until the second stage. Because of a problem in the third stage, the mission to place EOS-09 in orbit could not be accomplished.
  • PSLV-C62, 12 January 2026. ISRO reported an anomaly at the end of the third stage (PS3). EOS-N1 and 15 co-passenger satellites were on board.

Not every loss is the rocket's fault

Sometimes the rocket works and the satellite fails. In January 2025 GSLV-F15 placed NVS-02 correctly in its transfer orbit. Then a command signal did not reach a valve on the satellite's engine, and it could not climb to its working orbit.

What happens after a failure

ISRO sets up a Failure Analysis Committee. It studies flight data, runs computer simulations and repeats the suspect conditions in ground tests. After GSLV-F10, the committee found the most likely cause — a leaking vent and relief valve — and recommended a new tank-pressurisation system, a stronger valve and extra automatic checks before lift-off. After SSLV-D1, the separation system, sensor logic and deck structures were all changed. SSLV-D3 placed its satellite precisely in orbit in August 2024.

See it live

Read the 2025–2026 entries for PSLV-C61 and PSLV-C62, two failures in the same third stage. Explore PSLV's history

Key facts

  • PSLV-C39 (2017): heat shield did not separate.
  • GSLV-F10 (2021): cryogenic stage deviation at 297.3 s; mission aborted at 307 s.
  • SSLV-D1 (2022): velocity about 56 m/s short of the required 7,693 m/s.
  • PSLV-C61 (18 May 2025) and PSLV-C62 (12 January 2026): both failed in the third stage.
  • SSLV-D3 (16 August 2024) completed the SSLV development project.

Go deeper

Why reliability is hard. If a launch has N critical events and each succeeds with probability r independently, the mission succeeds with probability r^N. With r = 0.999 and N = 100 events, the chance of success is 0.999^100 ≈ 0.905. Even 99.9% reliability per event leaves about a 1-in-10 chance of losing the mission. Engineers push r up with testing and margins, and cut the effective N with redundancy.

Redundancy and its limits. If two independent backup paths each fail with probability p, both fail with probability p². For p = 0.01 that is 0.0001. But redundancy only helps if failures are independent. On NVS-02, ISRO's committee found that the drive signal failed to reach the pyro valve, with the most likely cause a lost contact in a connector — and the problem affected both paths. A shared weakness defeats the backup.

Reading a fault chain: GSLV-F10. ISRO's committee laid out the sequence:

  • Ground servicing and lift-off conditions were normal.
  • In flight, hydrogen tank pressure built up abnormally, so it was low when the engine started.
  • The fuel booster turbopump inside the tank then ran abnormally and fed too little liquid hydrogen.
  • The stage deviated at 297.3 s and the onboard computer aborted at 307 s.
  • Most likely root cause: a leak in the vent and relief valve, possibly from soft-seal damage, contamination or mounting stresses at cryogenic temperature.

The pattern — symptom, mechanism, root cause, confirmed by simulation and ground test, then fixes — is how every failure review works.

Same stage, twice. PSLV-C61 and PSLV-C62 both had trouble in the solid third stage. A repeated failure in one subsystem is a strong signal that the cause is in its design, production or acceptance testing rather than chance.

Check yourself

If a launch involves 100 critical events, each 99.9% reliable, what is the chance the mission succeeds?

0.999^100 ≈ 0.905, or about 90.5%.

What was the most likely root cause of the GSLV-F10 failure?

A leak in the vent and relief valve of the liquid hydrogen tank, which left the tank under-pressurised so the fuel booster turbopump fed too little hydrogen to the engine.

Was the NVS-02 failure a launch failure? Explain.

No. GSLV-F15 placed NVS-02 correctly in its transfer orbit. The satellite's own engine could not fire because the drive signal did not reach an oxidiser-line valve.

Sources

  1. PSLV-C39/IRNSS-1H mission unsuccessful — ISRO
  2. GSLV-F10/EOS-03 mission failure: Failure Analysis Committee conclusions — ISRO
  3. SSLV-D1/EOS-02 failure analysis and SSLV-D2/EOS-07 mission — ISRO
  4. SSLV-D3/EOS-08 mission — ISRO
  5. PSLV-C61/EOS-09 mission — ISRO
  6. PSLV-C62/EOS-N1 mission — ISRO
  7. NVS-02 spacecraft: on-orbit observations and Apex Committee recommendations — ISRO